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The Rupee opens flat on Tuesday. Rising oil prices continue to weigh on the outlook for the Indian rupee, with traders watching for support near a key technical level and the response of the central bank. The Indian currency's recovery towards 94.30 last week, driven largely by central bank intervention and one-off inflows, is being tested by a lack of macroeconomic support. Portfolio flows remain weak, while fragile sentiment towards the rupee is encouraging companies to step up hedging, adding to the currency's vulnerabilities. The rupee came under sustained pressure on Monday despite signs of RBI dollar selling, underscoring the challenge facing the central bank. Traders see 95.30 as a key level to watch, given the RBI's more aggressive intervention around that level. A sustained break could expose the rupee to a deeper decline towards 96 per dollar. The dollar index held steady near a one-week high on Tuesday at 102.04 as a tech-led rebound on Wall Street revived appetite for risk, while investors await megacap earnings and the US midterm elections. Risk appetite returned overnight after Anthropic's IPO filing and Meta's $95 billion equity plan rekindled the artificial intelligence trade. The dollar was also underpinned by a weaker euro , which fell to a near two-week low against the greenback as worries over France's fiscal health piled pressure on the single currency. The euro last fetched $1.1165, down about 1.4% this month. A selloff in French government bonds that drove the country's debt-risk premium to its highest since the 2011 sovereign debt crisis has rekindled concerns about financial stress across the euro zone. The Japanese yen eased against the US dollar on Tuesday, further eroding last week's safe-haven gains, underpinned by a risk-on mood and by the weaker euro ahead of key central bank meetings this week that will influence the global rates outlook. The yen was 0.16% weaker at 157.73 per dollar, inching further away from the one-month high it touched last week ahead of the Bank of Japan policy decision later this week. The yen had lost ground on Monday too. The yen was among the best-performing major currencies last week, as AI jitters in the equity market spurred a haven rush into the currency. Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday as the potential for a resolution in the US-Israeli war on Iran kept supply fears at bay, but Brent stayed close to six-month highs as attacks on Saudi Arabia lowered hopes of immediate stability in the region. Brent crude futures were down 66 cents, or 0.57%, at $115.15 a barrel as of 0000 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was down 44 cents, or 0.43%, at $101.32. Last week, Brent prices surged to more than $117 a barrel, the highest level since April, after a wave of Iranian attacks on tankers around the strait. Brent prices touched $117 on Monday as well. www.eforexindia.com......
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GlobalFX

The euro rebounded on Tuesday and was on pace for its strongest move higher in a month after falling to its lowest in 17 months in the prior day, as a pullback in French government bond yields cooled fears about strain in euro zone debt markets. The euro zone's currency climbed 0.28%, on track for its biggest daily gain since September 3, at $1.1252. the currency had slid to its lowest since May 2025 on Monday at $1.116, following a drop of more than 1% in the prior week, its fourth straight weekly decline. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell 0.26% to 101.89 and was on pace for its biggest daily drop since September 25. Bond markets around the world have seen yields rise due to expectations of sharp central bank rate hikes as energy prices have jumped due to the US-Israeli war with Iran and fanned inflation, as well as concerns about government finances. France is at the heart of the European market concerns. The French government is seeking to enact an unpopular 2027 budget to lower its deficit and contain its record-high debt load, a tall order in a deeply divided parliament as political factions position ahead of next year's presidential election. With inflation already rising on soaring energy costs and higher yields increasing household and corporate borrowing costs, further euro weakening could leave the European Central Bank caught between fighting inflation and calming bond markets. * For detailed analyslis, subscrible and visit Technical analysis on currencies......
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